https://wiki.altaron.pl/api.php?action=feedcontributions&feedformat=atom&user=TillisOakes580 2026-04-07T13:07:13Z Wkład użytkownika MediaWiki 1.38.2 https://wiki.altaron.pl/index.php?title=U%C5%BCytkownik:TillisOakes580&diff=17019 2012-04-03T22:30:54Z

<p>TillisOakes580: Utworzył nową stronę „BARELY a week goes by without a report on the level of confidence among consumers, businesspeople and investors. Optimism is what�s wanted�Keynes talked of the �a...”</p> <hr /> <div>BARELY a week goes by without a report on the level of confidence among consumers, businesspeople and investors. Optimism is what�s wanted�Keynes talked of the �animal spirits� that influence economic activity. Pessimists are routinely denounced as Jeremiahs. Those who try to bet on falling prices find their activities are restricted.<br /> <br /> A cheery disposition may be necessary for societies to function. Daniel Kahneman, a psychologist and Nobel economics laureate, has a chapter in his book �Thinking Fast and Slow� which describes overconfidence as �the engine of capitalism�. No entrepreneur can be sure that his planned investment will succeed but if no one took a risk, new products and jobs would never be created. A certain blindness to the odds may be necessary. According to Mr Kahneman, the chances of an American small business surviving for five years are just 35%. But ask individual entrepreneurs about their prospects and 81% think they have a better than seven-in-ten chance of success.</div>

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